Quantitative Methods Q147

0. The probabilities of earning returns are as follows:
Probability Return
0.20 15%
0.20 20%
0.20 7%
0.20 12%
0.20 13%

  • Option : A
  • Explanation : The odds of an event can be determined by dividing the probability of the event occurring by the probability of the event not occurring. As a formula this can be expressed as: P(E) / (1 – P(E)). In this case the probability of the event (earning at least 15%) is 0.20 + 0.20 which 0.40. The probability of the event not occurring (earning less than 15%) is 0.20 + 0.20 + 0.20 = 0.60. Hence the odds are 0.40/0.60 = 2/3. This can also be written as 2 to 3.
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